LVSC Week 14 College Football Rankings

Every week Las Vegas Sports Consultants, the world's largest oddsmaking company, releases their top polls/rankings for the major sports. They describe their polls as ones in which "teams are ranked purely by the numbers, without media, regional, league, conference or any other biases – just the facts as determined by LVSC’s team of experts." Because they use the same information that is used to make the betting lines, it is perhaps the most complete and accurate poll. We will post the updated college football poll here every Tuesday and the updated NFL rankings on Wednesdays.



The most interesting move this week is TCU jumping into the third spot ahead of Alabama. Vegas is confirming what most experts have been saying all along, that TCU can hang with the big boys. While still seen as 3.5 points below Texas, the Horned Frogs are clearly making their presence felt. Not sure I would want to draw them as my BCS bowl opponent. A team to keep an eye on this week is Nebraska. Checking in at nineteen, they have the capability to give Texas a tough game in the Big 12 Championship. Texas better be sure they are not looking ahead to a BCS Championship game, or they may get knocked out of it. Texas is clearly the better team, but Bo Pelini's Huskers have the ability to give them a tough game. One other team to note is USC. They move back up into BCS contention at number thirteen, which makes them eligible for an at large berth. Can you imagine the outcry from all of the Trojan haters if they were to slide into a BCS game? It is definitely a very outside chance, but just something to think about.

BCS Review

No changes this week at the top of the BCS as the top 5 remain Florida, Alabama, Texas, TCU and Cincinnati. The most impressive of the 5 was clearly TCU. TCU welcomed the sixteenth ranked Utah Utes to town and pounded them 55-28. Texas won big as well, but it was against Baylor. TCU definitely looks like they belong in the discussion with the big boys. If Texas finds a way to lose, TCU deserves a chance to play for the title. They have as much first line talent as anyone in the country, but they do not have the same depth as top teams. There is no doubt, however, they can compete at the highest level. It will be a treat to see them play a top team in a BCS bowl.

Three Games I Like Today

Iowa at Ohio State: Coming off their first loss and without their starting QB, Iowa travels to Columbus to take on the Buckeyes. With a win, Ohio State puts themselves right back in control of a trip to the Rose Bowl. I am not sure either of these teams are all that great, but someone has to win the Big Ten. Look for Ohio State to beat an Iowa team led by a freshman QB and set their schedule for a trip to Pasadena.

Stanford at USC: Stanford comes into the game feeling great after their big win over Oregon, while USC returns to the Coliseum off of another uninspiring victory at Arizona State. The matchup of the game is clearly Toby Gerhart and the Cardinal rushing attack against the USC defensive line. USC has a tendency to struggle against small, quick running backs, but Gerhart is the complete opposite. Gerhart looks to run through you just as much as much as he looks to run around you. The game should feature some big collisions between Gerhart and USC safety Taylor Mays. Look for the USC defense to hold its own, as I think they matchup well against the Stanford offense. On the other side of the ball, USC gets back two key weapons in TE Anthony McCoy and FB Stanley Havili. They will make things much easier for freshman QB Matt Barkley. While Barkley is clearly the second best QB in this game overall, he will be the best today. Look for USC's talent and atleticism on offense to be too much for Stanford to contain. USC wins it by three scores.

Utah at TCU: Number 16 Utah goes on the road to take the number 4 TCU Horned Frogs. Nothing intimidates like a Horned Frog. While this is a big game because it features two teams toward the top of the BCS standings, it should not be close. TCU is on a completely different level than Utah. Look for TCU to win this game going away and keep a zero in the loss column

Another game to keep an eye on tonight is Alabama at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs gave Florida a tough game down in Starksville and Alabama can't afford to look past them. MSU should be able to keep this game close and could easily have a chance to win at the end.

A Look Back at Saturday's Games

The Iowa Hawkeyes luck finally ran out, taking them out of BCS title contention. They have trailed at the half in every game this season, but had come back to win them all before yesterday. They now will have to win at Ohio State to give themselves a shot at the Rose Bowl. Hard to imagine anybody being surprised to see them lose.

Florida and Texas both kept their undefeated records intact by beating Vanderbilt and Central Florida respectively. We really do not learn anything from either game against obviously inferior opponents. Florida had no choice as it was a conference game, but Texas picked this game. That wraps up their grueling non-conference schedule featuring games against powerhouses like Louisiana Monroe, Wyoming, UTEP and now Central Florida. It would have been nice to see them schedule at least one legitimate non-conference game. When the BCS standings are released this afternoon, we will likely see the Longhorns back in the third spot behind Alabama.

Alabama kept a zero in the loss column with a win over LSU. The game was a bit sloppy and I am still not convinced that the Alabama offense will be able to do enough to win against a team with a top defense. They look very inconsistent and have to settle for field goals way too often. We again saw a terrible call by SEC replay officials play a significant role in the outcome of this game. Officials upheld an incomplete pass call on an LSU interception late in the game despite replays clearly showing Patrick Peterson getting his foot down inside the line. The call allowed Alabama to kick a field goal and go up by two scores with only 3 minutes left, rather than the Tigers having the ball with a chance to win. It has not been a good year for SEC officiating, to put it mildly. Alabama now clinches a spot in the SEC title game against Florida.

I would say that Oregon fell trap to the "letdown" game against Stanford, but that would be selling Stanford short. Stanford and running back Toby Gerhart ran all over the Oregon and dominated the Duck defense. Oregon's offense gave it their best shot, but Stanford was just too much to handle.

Quick Hits:
USC gets back in the win column, but looks very pedestrian in doing so.

Notre Dame loses to Navy again. Charlie Weiss has got to be getting nervous.

McCoy to Shipley is the best QB/WR combo and it is not even close.

Iowa and Penn State losing has got to help Boise State's chances of a BCS berth.

What Do They Watch In There?

SEC replay officials again leave you wondering what they are watching in there. It certainly does not appear they are watching the game, but maybe reruns of the Jeff Foxworthy show instead. In the fourth quarter of today's game at Alabama, LSU corner Patrick Peterson intercepted a Greg McElroy pass to give the Tigers the ball trailing by six with a chance to win the game. The ruling on the field was incomplete, out of bounds. Replays showed Peterson's left foot in the field of play near the sideline. It was close to the sideline, but it was clearly in. Still shots of the replay show the ball in his hands with his foot down, but replay officials apparently did not find it to be conclusive enough to overturn the incorrect call. It is understandable that they do not want to continually reverse close possession calls, but boundary rulings are cut and dry. You are either in or out, and he was clearly just inside the line. As far as I know the rule book only says you have to be inside the line, not a yard inside the line. Alabama instead was able to maintain possession and kick a field goal to put the game away. Who know if LSU would have scored to take the lead, but they at least earned the opportunity to try. Patrick Peterson played a great game and made a game changing play only to have it taken away by inept review officials. The SEC will again spend their week discussing poor officiating. The photo below shows the divot created by Peterson's foot and gives you an idea of how far in he was.

Oregon Getting Pounded, Alabama Trailing at the Half

The Stanford Cardinal are running all over the Oregon Ducks as they have taken a 31-14 lead into halftime. Toby Gerhart is demoralizing the Duck defense with 23 carries and 110 yards through the first 2 quarters. If they are not running with Gerhart, the Cardinal are gashing Oregon through the air behind superstar freshman QB Andrew Luck. Stanford has already put 316 yards of offense on the board and has Oregon completely out of sorts. It looks like the famous letdown game may have jumped up to bite the Oregon Ducks. If they want any chance at a comeback, they better tighten their chin straps and find the will to stop Gerhart in the second half.

In Tuscaloosa, the LSU Tigers have taken a 10-7 halftime lead into the locker room. Alabama's inability to mount any sort of offense in the red zone is killing them again. QB Greg McElroy missed a wide open Julio Jones in the end zone on one drive, which ended in a field goal, and McElroy ended the first half throwing an ugly interception near the goal line. Alabama was able to get away with settling for field goals against the Vols, but LSU has far too many athletes to get away with it today. LSU corner Patrick Peterson has been dominant, virtually shutting down Julio Jones. It looks like Alabama may join Iowa in the loss column today.

College Football Preview

This weekends slate of games does not feature many matchups of top teams, but there are a few games of note.

LSU at Alabama: The ninth ranked LSU Tigers travel to Tuscaloosa to take on number three Alabama. Alabama is coming off of a bye week following a down to the wire game against Tennessee. Alabama will have to be better than they were against the Volunteers. While not looking as impressive as they did at the start of the season, the Crimson Tide has still managed to come out on top in every game they have played. They were fortunate against Tennessee to have Lane Kiffin's special teams be a complete mess. LSU will not afford them the same luxury. LSU is a good team with only one loss, but I do not think they get it done against an Alabama team that has had two weeks to prepare. Do not be surprised if we have a close contest, however, because LSU certainly has enough athletes to make some plays. An upset would not be shocking, but I see Alabama winning the game by two scores.

Ohio State at Penn State: The Buckeyes go into Happy Valley looking to put a solid win on their resume. To this point, they really have only played one top team, USC at home, and lost. Their next three games at Penn State, home against Iowa and at Michigan give them a chance to finish strong. It will be a tough task this weekend against a Penn State team that seems to have found its stride. They field a very solid defense that should be able to contain Terrelle Pryor on the ground and turn him into a passer, which greatly reduces his effectiveness. On the offensive side of the ball, QB Daryll Clark and RB Evan Royster lead an explosive attack that can put points up in a hurry. Look for Ohio State to leave town with a third loss on the board.

USC at Arizona State: Most years, we would simply be discussing how many points the Trojans will win by. This year is a bit of a different story. For the first time in recent history, USC will be coming off of a big loss in which they were completely dominated on both sides of the ball. How will they react? They clearly do not have the same amount of experience as last year's team, but some would argue they have as much, if not more, talent. We have not seen it yet this year, and I don't know that we will. Arizona State, however, is definitely in a down year. Look for the Trojans to come out playing angry, inspired football and get themselves back in the win column. I do not see this game being close.

A couple of other games to keep an eye on are Oregon at Stanford and Northwestern at Iowa. If Oregon comes out with any sort of let down after last weeks big win, Stanford has the talent to beat them. On the flip side, Iowa has to avoid looking ahead to its last big game next week at Ohio State. Northwestern hung tough with Penn State into the second half last week and will not be a walk over.

BCS Review

The latest BCS standings were released Sunday afternoon, with the top 3 spots remaining unchanged. Florida, Alabama and Texas hold down the first three positions, while Iowa and USC round out the top five. Florida and Alabama will likely meet in the SEC championship game, meaning one of them will have at least one loss. Unbeaten Texas and Iowa control their own destiny for the second spot in the title game. Texas' only real test left is at Oklahoma State, while Iowa still has to travel to Columbus for a showdown with Ohio State. USC's toughest remaining game will come this weekend at Oregon. Two of these five teams will likely meet for the BCS title, but which two will it be? You could probably make a case for any of them. The top 4 are undefeated, but all have looked beatable at times. My guess is that we have either an undefeated Florida or Alabama taking on a one loss USC in the title game.

Florida Jumps Alabama

Florida has moved ahead of Alabama in the AP poll to once again claim the top spot in both the AP and Coaches' polls. Texas and USC are 3 and 4 respectively in both polls, while Cincinnati is in the five spot in the AP and Boise State claims the five spot in the Coaches. It's hard to argue with the top four teams in whatever order you want to put them. Personally, I would have USC ahead of Texas based on overall talent and offensive balance. So again, the human polls put USC ahead of the other unbeaten teams. We'll see where the computers put them when the BCS standings are released this afternoon. A win next week in Eugene would certainly help.

Quick Hits From Today's Action

• Not sure why Lane Kiffin would not run another play with 38 seconds left on the clock before attempting the field goal. Tennessee had already missed from 47 yards and had a 43 yard attempt easily blocked. A 44 yard attempt was anything but a sure thing. He may be thinking about that decision for a while.
  
• Florida again had a critical call go their way. It certainly looked as though Dustin Doe had the ball knocked out of his hands had about the 2 yard line. Hard to say if the outcome would have changed, but the momentum certainly would have changed sides.
• USC's offense, particularly Alan Bradford, seemed to really find its stride. They look to be the top offense as far as balance is concerned. Matt Barkley threw a couple of aggressive passes that were intercepted, but he certainly looks to be the real deal. Tough test ahead of them next week at Oregon.
• Does another close Notre Dame win over a mediocre team mean we have to listen to Charlie Weiss complain about not being in the top 25 again?
  
• With apologies to Texas, Cincinnati and Iowa, I would have to put Alabama, Florida and USC at the top of the list. Not sure I would argue with whatever order you want to put them in.